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Special Tropical Weather Outlook

Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 710 PM EDT Wed May 23 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. A broad surface low centered over the southeastern Yucatan Peninsula has become better defined since yesterday, and it continues to produce a large area of cloudiness and showers extending from the northwestern Caribbean Sea across Cuba into the Florida Straits. Continued slow development of this system is possible during the next couple of days as it drifts northward near the Yucatan Peninsula. Thereafter, environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development, and a subtropical or tropical depression is likely to form this weekend over the eastern or central Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible across western Cuba and the Cayman Islands during the next few days, and over much of Florida and the northern Gulf Coast during the weekend. For more information on the heavy rain threat, please see products issued by your local weather office. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by 800 AM EDT on Thursday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Forecaster Beven

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